Best nfl fantasy picks 2020

Play fantasy football? Of course you do! Fantasy football has become one of the most popular forms of sports entertainment in the 21s century. As you know, Fantasy Football takes a serious amount of effort and preparation. Luckily, has you covered. We’ve dedicated this page to our Fantasy Football player rankings, and we make sure to keep them updated daily to reflect the latest news and injury reports. Plus, with the different scoring formats available, we make sure to provide full reports and rankings for standard, PPR and half-PPR formats. Before you get ready for your draft or set your Week 1 lineup, make sure to check in here to stay ahead of the curve. If you’re an exceptional fantasy football player, and know the players who are overvalued or undervalued in your league, I’d recommend using your analytical skills in the sports gambling space. and have both been legalized, along with many other states, and there are several sports books to set up an account with. For example, Arizona is a top-notch sports book offering some of the most diverse and unique markets in the state. Or, if you’re in another state that’s legalized sports betting, check in with and get access to our personal promo codes. You can use the “LINEUPS” to get a $1,000 risk-free bet when you create an account; or you can use the Caesars Promo Code “LINEUPSRF” to collect a $5,000 risk-free bet when you sign up there.

The week-to-week rankings are based on quite a few things. One of the first steps we take is viewing all the injuries and changes leading up to the current week. That even means looking at defensive injuries that many overlook and offensive line injuries that could deter a running back with said lineman being out. We want to get a good grip on the current week before we start diving in. With the correlation between fantasy points and faster-paced games, we look at games that are going to be quick-moving and present many chances for teams to have an above-average number of possessions.

For example, the Arizona Cardinals are playing at one of the fastest paces in the league, and their passing volume has gone through the roof under Kliff Kingsbury. This has spiked a jump in wide receiver production across the board and made Kyler Murray a quicker fantasy threat than expected. Each week the matchups play a big part in how we set our fantasy football lineups. You will find weekly projections, streaming options, players to avoid, and much more within our rankings.

One way that Fantasy Football Rankings can come in handy is using them to help with your prop-bets. Knowing who you think is undervalued by oddsmakers is a massive plus. BetMGM has some of the best NFL prop-bets, and you can sign up with the BetMGM bonus code “LINEUPS” and earn yourself a $600 risk-free bet.

Opportunity is king, and opportunity is one of the bigger variables across the season. For wide receivers and tight ends we want to see who is getting , and also seeing targets within the red zone. Running backs we are looking at touches, which is a combination of rushing attempts and receptions. We also dive into red zone usage, which correlates with fantasy points. As for quarterbacks, volume is something we look at, but we want efficiency to be a part of it as well. We look at defenses and kickers in a similar way where matchups factor in a bit more. Kickers on high-scoring teams are always at the top of the table, while defenses we look directly towards the matchups.

When digging into matchups, defenses just simply allow more and less fantasy points to specific positions. The Falcons have established themselves as a team to pick on with just about every position this season. When we look at teams to target through the air, we want teams with weaker secondaries, but also ones who struggle to get towards the quarterback. Tight ends and wide receivers can pick on struggling secondaries, while teams like Las Vegas, Cincinnati, and Dallas have shown to struggle against teams on the ground. Using all these factors, we come up with our weekly rankings and projections.

The Best Players for Fantasy Football in 2021

Cumulatively ranking players across all fantasy football positions is a bear, but our rankings eliminate the need to blindly do so on your own. Additionally, the page provides last year's statistics and fantasy scoring totals (for Standard, PPR and Half PPR) as well as Lineups own projected fantasy footall stats and 2021 fantasy football projections (again, for Standard, PPR, and Half PPR). Regardless of the scoring type selected, the top of the rankings and Tier 1 is dominated by running backs. It seems the death of feature backs has been overstated, and they once again rule the roost owning the top four spots in the rankings for all three league scoring types.

Starting with the quarterback, there are a number of elite options at the top of drafts. Patrick Mahomes, the former MVP and Super Bowl winner, remains the highest-drafted quarterback in one of the best offenses in the NFL. Kyler Murray is our top-ranked quarterback as the Cardinals’ passer is set for another leap forward in his third season; his passing and rushing production makes for a lethal scoring combination. Lamar Jackson is an elite option as he’s run for over 1,000 yards in each of the last two seasons, while Josh Allen should remain one of the top options after his breakthrough year.

Alvin Kamara was the top scorer at running back last year, and he remains one of the top options, while Christian McCaffrey should be back as the top option after an injury-plagued 2020. Saquon Barkley also missed most of last season, but he should return to being one of the top options. Ezekiel Elliott had career-low efficiency amidst injuries to Dak Prescott and most of the Cowboys’ offensive line last year, but he should be in for a bounceback season. Dalvin Cook and Derrick Henry also remain among the top options.

At wide receiver, there are a ton of elite options to consider. Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, DeAndre Hopkins, and Calvin Ridley make up the top tier while D.K. Metcalf, Justin Jefferson, Terry McLaurin, and A.J. Brown are exciting options to consider early in drafts. The third through fifth rounds present a number of exciting options, as well, with Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Amari Cooper, Tyler Lockett, Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, and more making up the high-upside options.

Tight end is a mess in fantasy football as it’s hard to come by truly consistent production, but there are some elite options at the top of drafts. Travis Kelce’s brilliant production makes him a first-round pick in most leagues while Darren Waller and George Kittle should be off the board in the first couple of rounds. Mark Andrews and T.J. Hockenson follow close behind while Kyle Pitts is a name to watch as the rookie tight end should make an instant impact.

Fantasy Football Rankings Frequently Asked Questions

Ideal fantasy football lineups are widely going to range based on where you are picking, what scoring system you are in, and also what size your league is. This is a popular 12-team PPR league, and with a randomized pick, we ended up with the 12th pick overall. We will look at the likeliness of players being there at each pick being over 70%. Anything less I will not include.

QB - Aaron Rodgers (6.1)

The Packers’ quarterback is coming off a career-high 48 touchdowns in his MVP season, and he’s back with the team following a tumultuous offseason. Rodgers continues to be one of the best passing talents in the league and is set for another great season.

RB - Jonathan Taylor (1.12)

Taylor was one of the top scorers at the running back position last year. While the Colts are bringing in a new quarterback in Carson Wentz, Taylor should remain one of the most efficient RBs in the league behind arguably the NFL’s best offensive line.

RB - David Montgomery (3.12)

There are several talented running backs available in the third round, but Montgomery is the one who I would be hoping fell to me with the last pick in the round. The Bears’ rusher was one of the best players in fantasy last year after a torrid end to the season.

WR - Tyreek Hill (2.01)

Hill is one of the most electric talents at the wide receiver position in the NFL, and his game-breaking speed makes him a constant threat to take a play to the house. The Chiefs’ wide receiver benefits from arguably the best quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and the best head coach in Andy Reid.

WR - CeeDee Lamb (4.01)

Despite injuries to Dak Prescott and most of the starting offensive line, Lamb was quite impressive in his rookie season. Now, he moves from the slot to the outside and should be set for an explosive second-year breakout.

WR - D.J. Moore (5.12)

The Panthers’ wide receiver will be getting another new starting quarterback in Sam Darnold, but his ability to produce no matter the QB is an impressive testament to his talent. Moore is set for another great season and is a steal at this range.

TE - Tyler Higbee (10.01)

My favorite late-round tight end target, Higbee is a steal at his current ADP. With a quarterback upgrade in Matthew Stafford and the departure of fellow tight-end Gerald Everett from the team, Higbee is set for a big season.

K - Harrison Butker (12.1)

Bryant may not have been terribly consistent last season, but he’s attached to one of the most high-powered offenses in the Chiefs. Upside is king at the kicker position, and Bryant should be in for some high-scoring games this season.

DEF - Los Angeles Rams (11.12)

With the likes of Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey making the Rams one of the best real-life defenses in the NFL, Los Angeles is also my top-rated defense for fantasy football this season.

Landing an elite workhorse running back in the first round is very important with the lack of depth at the position, and there is one RB who stands out from the rest in Christian McCaffrey. CMC had an injury-riddled 2020 season in which he only played three games, but in 2019 he was the top-scoring running back by a huge margin. In that season, he had over 1,000 yards both on the ground and through the air. McCaffrey has spoken to being at full health following his disappointing 2020, and I’m in on CMC as the top player again this season for fantasy.

Quarterbacks are always controversial, as many analysts will tell you to wait on the position. Last season, Josh Allen, the #1 scorer at QB, was available in the 8th or 9th round. Players like Ryan Tannehill, Kirk Cousins, and Matt Ryan were top-12 quarterbacks available later in the draft. No quarterback since 2005 has finished as the #1 scorer in fantasy football in back-to-back seasons and quarterbacks famously have low repeatability as top-12 options. Last season, there were 38 different quarterbacks who registered top-12 finishes and there are plenty of options available later in drafts who can be streamed for great production depending on their matchup.

Don’t be afraid to reach for the guys you want. It can be a long turnaround depending on your draft position, so don’t tie the players you like to their ADP. For example, if you wanted Calvin Ridley last season but were drafting with the first pick in the draft in a 12-team league, you would have had to have taken Ridley with the first pick in the third round - that’s about 17 picks higher than his ADP. However, he finished as a top-5 WR, so that would have paid off and then some.

Look for upside later in drafts, and take some risks. There are going to be breakout players each and every year going in the double-digit rounds. You are going to be looking for high floor players early, which helps negate if you take risk late. The deeper you go in drafts, the lower the floors get.

Don’t draft kickers and defenses until very late. They are your lowest scoring positions, and 30-40 fantasy points can separate the top from the middle tier, which isn’t a huge drop off. You can also look to stream on a week to week basis and play more the matchups there.

This is a passing league, and therefore quarterbacks are your highest scorers. Outside of insane years like Michael Thomas and Christian McCaffrey have had, most of the year end scorers will be quarterbacks. They have the most volume of any position, where they have 35+ chances a game to put up fantasy points. Wide receivers and tight ends can range from 5-15 touches a game. Running backs truly need double-digit touches to have any sort of real impact. Wide receivers come in second, then running back, and finally tight end.

Do I Worry About Bye Weeks?

Teams have one week off a season, and that can create a headache for fantasy teams. Does it really matter? No. If you have three strong players on bye in Week 7, I would much rather be weak one week out of the season rather than not drafting players I truly want. Do not worry about , and in fact don’t even bother looking at them when you are drafting. It should have no influence on building your roster.

What Are RB Handcuffs?

We have seen plenty of running backs go down over recent years due to injuries, which can create league-winning volume for running backs. Often you will see backup running backs being drafted. If they can bring some standalone value already without the RB1 being injured, that is great. Names like Alexander Mattison and Tony Pollard are strong talents backing up Dalvin Cook and Ezekiel Elliott. Anything happens to those names. You are looking at RB1/2 type production for as long as they are out.

You will be able to find the key backups to pick up within our running back handcuff chart. Be sure to keep a few bench spots open for backups.

What Positions Do I Take For Bench Spots?

Generally, we look at our bench spots as a place to back up each position. If you have a deeper bench in your league format, that can be the case. If you have standard five-six spots, you should be looking to get more running backs and wide receivers. They help give you options throughout the year, as you will be leaning on your quarterback each week regardless. They are also less likely to get injured, and the waiver wire will still have decent names out there.


Matthew Berry's 2020 PPR fantasy football rankings

Sep 6, 2020
  • Matthew BerryESPN Senior Writer

      • Senior Fantasy analyst for ESPN
      • Member, FSWA and FSTA Halls of Fame
      • Best-selling author of "Fantasy Life"

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Below are my fantasy football rankings for the 2020 season in an ESPN standard league (1 QB, full PPR). This rankings list will likely not do well in any postseason analysis of "accuracy," because this follows my drafting philosophy I laid out in the Draft-Day Manifesto. That is to say, I value running backs early over wide receivers due to the positional depth at WR, and in the mid-to-late rounds I value upside and potential to be an elite factor at certain points in the season over players who have a usable weekly floor but are very unlikely to win you a week.

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For example, I have J.K. Dobbins a full round ahead of Tarik Cohen. Now, Cohen is a nice player and will play every week. He will get you points every week and at the end of the season is more likely than not to have a lot more total fantasy points than Dobbins. But Cohen will never be anything more than a flex play with upside on the few occasions each year he has a long touchdown play. Even if something were to happen to David Montgomery, Cohen would not take over the starting role. Cohen is what he is: a nice pass-catching back who will get eight to 12 touches a game.

Meanwhile, at the moment, Dobbins is scheduled to back up Mark Ingram II and might not see the field in a meaningful way for many weeks, maybe even the entire season. But he was an incredibly talented back in college and if anything were to happen to Ingram, Dobbins would be a top-10 running back, an explosive player with a significant role on the best rushing offense in the NFL. Dobbins would be a guy who could win you the week and potentially the league. And in the range both guys are going, I'll take the risk and upside with Dobbins over the safer but much lower ceiling of a guy like Cohen all day, every day.

In an ESPN 10-team league, only 160 players will be drafted, hence players 141 through 160 are defenses and kickers. But for those who play in deeper leagues, there are 200 players ranked below. As always, these ranks are meant to be used as a loose guideline more than a hard-and-fast document. Every draft is different and you'll often need to veer off the sheet based on your roster construction and how the rest of the draft is going.

This will be updated often throughout the preseason as more news becomes available, so check back frequently. There will always be a timestamp at the top to let you know when the ranks have been most recently updated. Thanks and happy drafting!

1. Christian McCaffrey CAR RB
2. Saquon Barkley NYG RB
3. Ezekiel Elliott DAL RB
4. Alvin Kamara NO RB
5. Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC RB
6. Derrick Henry TEN RB
7. Dalvin Cook MIN RB
8. Michael Thomas NO WR
9. Joe Mixon CIN RB
10. Austin Ekeler LAC RB
11. Josh Jacobs LV RB
12. Aaron Jones GB RB
13. Davante Adams GB WR
14. Nick Chubb CLE RB
15. Tyreek Hill KC WR
16. Julio Jones ATL WR
17. Travis Kelce KC TE
18. George Kittle SF TE
19. DeAndre Hopkins ARI WR
20. Kenyan Drake ARI RB
21. Miles Sanders PHI RB
22. Mike Evans TB WR
23. Chris Carson SEA RB
24. Chris Godwin TB WR
25. Allen Robinson II CHI WR
26. Lamar Jackson BAL QB
27. Patrick Mahomes KC QB
28. Kenny Golladay DET WR
29. Adam Thielen MIN WR
30. Odell Beckham Jr. CLE WR
31. Robert Woods LAR WR
32. DJ Moore CAR WR
33. David Johnson HOU RB
34. Todd Gurley II ATL RB
35. Amari Cooper DAL WR
36. JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT WR
37. James Conner PIT RB
38. Melvin Gordon DEN RB
39. A.J. Brown TEN WR
40. Cooper Kupp LAR WR
41. Terry McLaurin WAS WR
42. Tyler Lockett SEA WR
43. Calvin Ridley ATL WR
44. Mark Andrews BAL TE
45. Keenan Allen LAC WR
46. Kareem Hunt CLE RB
47. Zach Ertz PHI TE
48. Mark Ingram II BAL RB
49. Michael Gallup DAL WR
50. T.Y. Hilton IND WR
51. DJ Chark Jr. JAC WR
52. Courtland Sutton DEN WR
53. DK Metcalf SEA WR
54. Le'Veon Bell NYJ RB
55. Jonathan Taylor IND RB
56. Cam Akers LAR RB
57. Raheem Mostert SF RB
58. Marquise Brown BAL WR
59. Darren Waller LV TE
60. Dak Prescott DAL QB
61. Julian Edelman NE WR
62. Tyler Boyd CIN WR
63. DeVante Parker MIA WR
64. Antonio Gibson WAS RB
65. Kyler Murray ARI QB
66. Stefon Diggs BUF WR
67. J.K. Dobbins BAL RB
68. Russell Wilson SEA QB
69. A.J. Green CIN WR
70. Deshaun Watson HOU QB
71. Leonard Fournette TB RB
72. Evan Engram NYG TE
73. Marvin Jones Jr. DET WR
74. Will Fuller V HOU WR
75. Jarvis Landry CLE WR
76. Devin Singletary BUF RB
77. David Montgomery CHI RB
78. Sterling Shepard NYG WR
79. Diontae Johnson PIT WR
80. Jamison Crowder NYJ WR
81. Deebo Samuel SF WR
82. Preston Williams MIA WR
83. James White NE RB
84. Tom Brady TB QB
85. Jordan Howard MIA RB
86. D'Andre Swift DET RB
87. Josh Allen BUF QB
88. Rob Gronkowski TB TE
89. Tyler Higbee LAR TE
90. Tevin Coleman SF RB
91. Ronald Jones II TB RB
92. Zack Moss BUF RB
93. Matt Ryan ATL QB
94. Brandin Cooks HOU WR
95. Kerryon Johnson DET RB
96. Darrell Henderson Jr. LAR RB
97. Drew Brees NO QB
98. Hayden Hurst ATL TE
99. Noah Fant DEN TE
100. Carson Wentz PHI QB
101. Christian Kirk ARI WR
102. Emmanuel Sanders NO WR
103. Phillip Lindsay DEN RB
104. Alexander Mattison MIN RB
105. Marlon Mack IND RB
106. Tarik Cohen CHI RB
107. Matt Breida MIA RB
108. Mike Gesicki MIA TE
109. Latavius Murray NO RB
110. Boston Scott PHI RB
111. Golden Tate NYG WR
112. John Brown BUF WR
113. Cam Newton NE QB
114. Daniel Jones NYG QB
115. Anthony Miller CHI WR
116. Henry Ruggs III OAK WR
117. Ben Roethlisberger PIT QB
118. DeSean Jackson PHI WR
119. Chris Thompson JAC RB
120. Chase Edmonds ARI RB
121. Tony Pollard DAL RB
122. Darius Slayton NYG WR
123. Matthew Stafford DET QB
124. Parris Campbell IND WR
125. Justin Jefferson MIN WR
126. Hunter Henry LAC TE
127. Jack Doyle IND TE
128. Allen Lazard GB WR
129. Breshad Perriman NYJ WR
130. Dallas Goedert PHI TE
131. Jared Goff LAR QB
132. Duke Johnson Jr. HOU RB
133. Darrel Williams KC RB
134. Brandon Aiyuk SF WR
135. CeeDee Lamb DAL WR
136. Jared Cook NO TE
137. Curtis Samuel CAR WR
138. Austin Hooper CLE TE
139. Mecole Hardman KC WR
140. Damien Harris NE RB
141. San Francisco 49ers SF DST
142. Buffalo Bills BUF DST
143. Baltimore Ravens BAL DST
144. Chicago Bears CHI DST
145. Pittsburgh Steelers PIT DST
146. Indianapolis Colts IND DST
147. New Orleans Saints NO DST
148. Kansas City Chiefs KC DST
149. Los Angeles Chargers LAC DST
150. New England Patriots NE DST
151. Justin Tucker BAL K
152. Wil Lutz NO K
153. Harrison Butker KC K
154. Greg Zuerlein DAL K
155. Robbie Gould SF K
156. Matt Prater DET K
157. Zane Gonzalez ARI K
158. Ryan Succop TB K
159. Chris Boswell PIT K
160. Jake Elliott PHI K
161. Jerry Jeudy DEN WR
162. Robby Anderson CAR WR
163. Aaron Rodgers GB QB
164. Jonnu Smith TEN TE
165. Devine Ozigbo JAC RB
166. Baker Mayfield CLE QB
167. Jalen Reagor PHI WR
168. Alshon Jeffery PHI WR
169. N'Keal Harry NE WR
170. Ryan Tannehill TEN QB
171. Joshua Kellyl LAC RB
172. Mike Williams LAC WR
173. Darrynton Evans TEN RB
174. Chris Herndon NYJ TE
175. Laviska Shenault Jr JAC WR
176. T.J. Hockenson DET TE
177. Gardner Minshew II JAC QB
178. Malcolm Brown LAR RB
179. Sony Michel NE RB
180. Blake Jarwin DAL TE
181. Ian Thomas CAR TE
182. James Robinson JAC RB
183. Irv Smith Jr. MIN TE
184. Michael Pittman Jr. IND WR
185. Bryan Edwards LV WR
186. Russell Gage ATL WR
187. Anthony McFarland Jr. PIT RB
188. Joe Burrow CIN QB
189. Bryce Love WAS RB
190. Drew Lock DEN QB
191. Brian Hill ATL RB
192. Jamaal Williams GB RB
193. Cordarrelle Patterson CHI WR
194. Hunter Renfrow LV WR
195. Larry Fitzgerald ARI WR
196. AJ Dillon GB RB
197. Justin Jackson LAC RB
198. Randall Cobb HOU WR
199. Steven Sims Jr. WAS WR
200. Nyheim Hines IND RB

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Best and Worst Fantasy Football ADP from the 2020 Season

Wow. The 2020 Fantasy Football season is in the books and, with some notable moments of "less than ideal circumstances," it went off with a lot fewer hitches than we feared. I remember discussing not having a Fantasy season at all in some leagues. It was a waste of time to even try because of Covid-19 and some of the calamities we saw in baseball some said. I had leagues where contingencies for refunds or limited rewards were discussed and parameters outlined. All for not. There were some inequities, but they were relatively minor. Lamar Jackson Team Managers got a tough break when he missed a game due to Covid-19. There were others like that, but it wasn't the monkey-wrench mess that we all feared it would be. Major injuries to impact players created more havoc than Covid-19. Christian McCaffery, Saquon Barkley, Joe Mixon, Michael Thomas, Odell Beckham Jr., and Dak Prescott were all early-round draft picks that were more or less useless for the 2020 season. Quarterback is deep enough and Prescott was drafted late enough (49th overall - third quarterback selected) that Fantasy Team Managers were likely able to endure the loss a little more reasonably. The same can probably be said for Michael Thomas and any of the top wide receivers who missed significant time due to injury or otherwise. Both positions are deep enough and have a large enough body of viable alternative options for Team Managers to recover from, but losing a player with a 1.1 Average Draft Position (ADP) like McCaffery or a 1.2 like Barkley is a major body blow to a season at a thin position where bell-cow, high-volume players are dying out like the Dodo Bird. Even Joe Mixon, a talented but perennial disappointment and for many a first pick (ADP of 10.1) to be their RB1, is a loss extremely difficult to overcome. And, unlike McCaffery and as it turned out, to some degree, Barkley, Mixon's "handcuff" wasn't really a solution. Those are some of the bumps and the bruises Fantasy Team Managers had to navigate this season and now is the time to break it down.

The 2020 Fantasy Football season is over so what's next? Draft prep for 2021 of course. Time to review and analyze the results of the 2020 draft season so we can prepare for 2021.

Fantasy Football draft season is probably the most talked about and one of the most exciting parts of one of the more enjoyable hobbies we as Americans have going. Projections and predictions. Player analysis. Values, busts, breakouts, sleepers. All terms we use and phenomenons we discuss endlessly in July and August and now, I plan to review. The Best and Worst players based on Average Draft Position (ADP). The Best and Worst Values based on ADP, the Biggest Busts and Best Bargains and a wrinkle, a look at the "Zero RB Strategy" to see how it worked in 2020 and if it remains a viable team-building strategy in 2021 and beyond. So, let's get after it. The New Year is upon us and with a new year is a new Fantasy Football season. 2021 has begun and it begins by looking back at 2020. 

Best and Worst Values by ADP

Average Draft Position is how we rank players before we have on-the-field stats and it's how we evaluate a Fantasy Team Managers drafting prowess for the previous season. How did Clyde Edwards-Helaire ever get drafted in the top six or Marquise Brown get selected ahead of Stefon Diggs? I'll get into those in more detail in the "Biggest Busts and Best Bargains" segment, but for now, it's a look at 2020 ADP's. 

I don't have a lot of sympathy for Fantasy Team Managers that draft injury-prone players and then cry about their unfortunate circumstances when that player misses half the season for the third time in five years (Wil Fuller, I'm looking at you kid), but I am not going to label a player a bust if their season turned out to be one because of unforeseeable injuries. I had McCaffery and Barkley on the same keeper league team, so I got hosed, but I can't label them busts and I won't be for players with similar circumstances. My "Best and Worst ADP's for 2020" will be based on how they were projected to perform based on ADP compared to how they actually did. I'm going to employ a "Two Degrees of Separation Approach." I am going to attempt to make a distinction between "Value" and "Busts or Bargains". Some players were good values or bad ones, but they weren't necessarily "Busts" or "Bargains." A bust is a player that was drafted with high expectations and was significantly disappointing based on those expectations. A value is similar only to a lesser degree. I consider Clyde Edwards-Helaire, with a pre-season ADP of #5.9 who finished the season outside the overall top 50 in Fantasy scoring to be a bust. I consider James Robinson, with a pre-season ADP of #152 who finished the 2020 season 14th overall in Fantasy scoring to be one of the Biggest Bargains. A player like Ezekiel Elliot was expected to do great things in 2020 and while he didn't, he was still respectable. He finished 31st in overall Fantasy scoring in PPR formats with over 200 points. Disappointing for certain, but shy of how I define a "Bust." Stefon Diggs is a closer call. He exited draft season with an ADP of #65 and finished the Fantasy football season fifth in overall scoring. That's more than one of the best values, that's one of the best bargains, but it's close. It's difficult to label a player a "Bust" if they finish in the top 50 in Fantasy scoring and it's equally as difficult to label them "A Best Bargain" when they are drafted inside the top 75-100. That's the line I'm trying to walk here. I consider Diggs closer to Zeke than I do Edwards-Helaire, so I am leaning "Best Value" for Diggs, "Worst Value" for Zeke and "Bust" for CEH.  A slight distinction. Players like James Robinson and Justin Jefferson are much easier calls. They were drafted late or, in shallower leagues, not at all and turned out to be impact Fantasy players at "flier" or waiver wire prices. They won Fantasy Team Managers leagues purely because of how much of a bargain they were.

It's not as easy to categorize a player as a "Biggest Bust." For a player to be a biggest bust rather than just a bad value they need to not only be disappointing, like Zeke, but they have to be of extremely limited or no value to their Fantasy Teams. Technically, injured players fit this description but I don't think they should be labeled as such. Clyde Edwards-Helaire is close. At best, he was an atrocious value. He had extremely high expectations and fell significantly short, but he wasn't worthless. Where I find justification in labeling CEH a "Biggest Bust" is that at the time Fantasy Team Managers were setting their weekly lineups he was a Flex play each and every week, but in retrospect, that fact hurt Fantasy Team Managers a lot more often than it turned out to be correct. His late-season injury turned out to be a benefit for Fantasy Team Managers in their playoffs, especially when you see how mediocre that Kansas City Chiefs offense was in a few of those games when it mattered. It's safe to assume, in retrospect, that CEH would have been pedestrian or bad as well and that alternative Flex options would have been the better choice. I'll get into more detail when I profile each player.

Best Values by ADP

2020 Best Values by ADP (PPR)2020 ADP2020 Final FF Rank2020 Fantasy Points2020 Positional Ranking by ADP
Stefon Diggs#65#5th314WR27
Darren Waller#60#12th (Tied)251.9TE5
Aaron Rodgers#95#5th**357.26QB10
Josh Allen #96#2nd**376.8QB11
David Montgomery#60#20th236.6RB20
Diontae Johnson#94.3#29th209.2WR29
Calvin Ridley#38#9th270.9WR9

** NOTE**

When listing a Non-Quarterback I used PPR Flex Season Rankings for overall Fantasy scoring in order to exclude quarterbacks due to their high point totals because they crowded the top of the rankings.When ranking quarterbacks I included ALL offensive players.

Stefon Diggs, WR Buffalo Bills

ADP: #65 (WR27)

Fantasy Points: 194 (5th Overall)

I was skeptical of Diggs entering 2020 because I had concerns about Josh Allen's ability to maximize his abilities (another player who appears on one of the good lists in this article). Diggs entered 2020 after being outplayed by Adam Thielen in 2018 followed by a hobbled, disappointing 2019. The talent was never in dispute, but his narrative entering draft season suppressed his ADP. Add to that Allen's monumental developmental leap forward and Diggs is now being considered one of the best wide receivers in football. You could argue he is one the "Best Bargains," but with an ADP inside the top 75, "value" instead of "Bargain" was a distinction I felt justified in making.

2021 Prediction

He'll be drafted as a top-five player at his position and inside the top 20 overall. There will be some contrarian articles (probably by me) projecting regression for Diggs, but he is a legit top 10 wideout at the very least and will justify his 2021 ADP, but his days of being "A Value" are over thanks to his incredible 2020 campaign.

Darren Waller, TE Las Vegas Raiders

ADP: #60.4 (TE5)

Fantasy Points: 251.9 (Tied12th Overall)

Tight End is a bad position in Fantasy and while that results in the occasional  "position scarcity" overdraft, more often than not it suppresses their ADP. Travis Kelce and George Kittle were known commodities and Fantasy monsters at their position and even they were drafted #20.1 and #25 respectively - slightly outside the top two rounds in standard 10 team leagues. That being said, especially during the stretch run and then the Fantasy playoffs, Waller was an absolute beast. 

2021 Prediction

Waller has done it in receptions and receiving yards in back-to-back seasons, but the reason his 2021 ADP is likely to be boosted is the touchdowns. He catapulted from three in 2019 to eight in 2020 even though his receiving yards actually decreased slightly in one fewer game. He'll probably be selected as the TE2 rather than five and inside the top 30 rather than 60, but the rest of his profile is likely to remain the same with the potential for some regression. Most NFL players have bumps in their careers and while Waller has been consistent so far, a slight drop off in production accompanied by an increase in draft-day cost will probably result in Waller being on this list in 2020 and a slight overdraft designation in 2021. He's one of the true impact tight ends in the game and that won't change in 2021.  

Aaron Rodgers, QB Green Bay Packers

ADP: #95 (QB10)

Fantasy Points: 357.26 (5th Overall - 4th at QB)

I had shares of Rodgers in almost every league I play in because his ADP was just too good to pass up. I even selected him in a limited redraft keeper league that I already had Lamar Jackson - something almost no Fantasy analyst would endorse. The best strategy in Fantasy football is to select a quarterback being drafted 15-20th or worse at his own position and then watch him finish in the Top 10. But, with an ADP of #95, I had already filled most of my roster and he is still one of the best throwers in the game. He was drafted after Drew Brees and Matt Ryan, even Tom Brady, none of which can throw the ball anywhere near as well. Leading the league with 44 touchdown passes didn't hurt.

2021 Prediction

I spoke about this on "The Slatebreakers Podcast" with Co-Host Peter Gofen (@PeterJaguars). Our theory is that Rodgers and the Packers staff want to win him the MVP and they are having him throw in the red zone more, resulting in a league-leading 44 touchdown passes (along with Davante Adams being a league-leading red zone monster). Rodgers is sixth in passing yards while being drafted 10th at his position. Rodgers with 34-40 touchdowns instead of 44 is more like the 10th best quarterback, which is where he was drafted in 2020, than the fifth as he currently ranks. Expect that in 2021. Certainly a viable starter that justifies an ADP of 90-110, but not the bargain he was this year. For those that had him this year, congrats, but don't double-down in 2021 if his ADP rises 30-40 spots and gets closer to the top 50.

Josh Allen, QB Buffalo Bills

ADP: #96 (QB11)

Fantasy Points: 376.8 (2nd Overall to Alvin Kamara of the "six touchdowns in week 16" Kamara's)

Looking back at it now, due to his running ability and rushing touchdowns (26 in three NFL seasons) and the upside that that creates alone, his ADP was a bargain that we should have known at the time. My concern entering 2020 was his passing. He was inaccurate and inconsistent throwing the ball while being extremely slow making decisions and he made way too many bad choices resulting in interceptions and a loss of potential yards and touchdowns in previous seasons. But, he shouldn't have fallen past seventh at his position behind Drew Brees and Matt Ryan, aging statues with zero upside. It's understandable that he was such a value, but he was a borderline "Best Bargain" this season and that's on him. He did an amazing job getting better this year. I didn't think he would or that he could ever get THIS 2020 good. 

2021 Prediction

He'll be drafted like a top-five quarterback in 2021 and more than likely, top two or three behind only Mahomes and possibly Kyler Murray. Nobody is Mahomes, but Allen is better than Kyler Murray and he makes Lamar Jackson look like a D3 thrower in comparison. Most Fantasy Team Managers won't draft quarterbacks high enough to acquire an Allen or a Mahomes, but someone always does and Allen justifies it if you aren't philosophically opposed. 

David Montgomery, RB Chicago Bears

ADP: #60 (RB28)

Fantasy Points: 236.6 (20th Overall)

In 2019, Montgomery rushed for 889 yards with 25 receptions for185 receiving yards and three combined touchdowns. A respectable, but not exactly explosive rookie campaign. That and doubts about Mitch Trubisky and the QB situation in Chicago explains the less than sizzling excitement entering 2020. He was selected in the same area as other "Best Bargains" Stefon Diggs and Darren Waller and after lesser players like Devin Singletary and Marquise Brown. In retrospect, obviously a mistake. He has a comparable skillset to Edwards-Helaire, only better natural ability and size to run between the tackles and less upside in the passing game. Given what we knew then, not now, he deserved to be selected in the 30-40 range rather than 60 based purely on his 2019 performance.

2021 Predictions

Montgomery finished 2020 as a top six running back in PPR formats, but his skill set doesn't justify that kind of ADP. There are more talented running backs in better overall circumstances. I suspect when draft season comes along analysts and Fantasy Team Managers will downgrade his 2019-2020 results and his ADP will adapt accordingly. I expect him to be a top 15-20 pick and a low to mid-range RB2 in 2021 drafts. At that ADP, he's a solid value. 

One thing to be cautious about with Montgomery is that he had only two 100 yard games in 2019 and three in 2020. He did rush for over 1,000 yards, almost doubled his receptions from 25 to 45, and he did double his receiving yards from 185 to 375 from 2019 to 2020. Another factor to consider; Montgomery was a pedestrian Flex for all but one of the first 10 weeks of the season, then after their week 11 bye, he exploded for his four best games and all but two of his nine touchdowns. Inconsistency shouldn't play a major role in elevating or discounting a player's projections or pre-season ranking, but it is something to at least consider when making difficult decisions between comparable players. It's a meaningful knock against Clyde Edwards-Helaire's 2020 rookie season.  

Honorable Mentions

Diontae Johnson, WR Pittsburgh Steelers: ADP #94.3 - Fantasy Scoring Ranking #29

Calvin Ridley, WR Atlanta Falcons ADP #38.6 - Fantasy Scoring Ranking #9

Worst Values by ADP

2020 Worst Values by ADP (PPR)2020 ADP2020 Final FF Rank'2020 Fantasy Points2020 Positional Ranking by ADP
Ezekiel Elliott#3.7#31st208.6RB3
Josh Jacobs#10.6#27th210.4RB9
Lamar Jackson#20.9#14th**308.56QB2
Mark Andrews#42.1#65th163.4TE3
Melvin Gordon#37.1#53177.4RB21
Devin Singletary#55.3#87141.3RB27

** NOTE**

When listing a Non-Quarterback I used PPR Flex Season Rankings for overall Fantasy scoring in order to exclude quarterbacks due to their high point totals because they crowded the top of the rankings.When ranking quarterbacks I included ALL offensive players.

Ezekiel Elliott, RB Dallas Cowboys

ADP: #3.7 (RB3)

Fantasy Points:  208.6 (31st Overall)

Elliott scored over 200 Fantasy points and was a must-start play when he was healthy, but he had his worst season as a professional in rushing and receiving yards and touchdowns. He was drafted alongside Christian McCaffery and before Dalvin Cook and Derrick Henry while he performed like Mike Davis, Antonio Gibson, Diontae Johnson and  Cole Beasley. Elliott wasn't worthless but top five picks are expected to carry teams to Fantasy titles, making him a bad value but not a total bust in 2020. He did have five games of 89 rushing yards or more and six games of 100 or more total yards from scrimmage. The overall touches dropped and the touchdowns disappeared while the yards from scrimmage dried up after the injury to Dak Prescott as well.  

2021 Prediction

Elliott's ADP is likely to drop to the back end of the first round and if Prescott's return is delayed, possibly further in 2021. That's good for Fantasy team Managers looking for value. The skills are still there while the decline is still a few seasons away.  Elliott could receive as many as 75-100 more total touches in 2021 than he received in 2020. That increase alone could be worth 50-70 Fantasy points compared to 2020. Toss in a few more touchdowns for good measure and you have a bounceback season at a discounted rate in comparison to 2020. He's a 2021 target. 

Josh Jacobs, RB Las Vegas Raiders

ADP: #10.6 (RB9)

Fantasy Points: 210.4 (27th Overall)

Jacobs 2020 was a lot like Elliott only with slightly lower expectations and slightly better results. Jacob advocates projected an increase in receiving yards and receptions along with a bump in overall performance as a runner. His contributions did increase in the pass game, but only slightly while he regressed on the ground.  

2021 Prediction

It's slightly disconcerting that Jacobs workload increased while his efficiency and effectiveness declined. We've seen that from Jordan Howard and Alfred Morris in the recent past. He had more rushing attempts, more passing targets and more games played in 2020 than 2019 with lesser overall results. With the emergence of Darren Waller and some upheaval as to what direction the Raiders may go at the quarterback position, there are a lot of narratives that could develop surrounding Jacobs and his 2021 pre-draft projections. I like what he brings to the table and his role in the passing game did improve from season one to two and there is room for another jump forward in 2021. Jacobs isn't a must-target player, but if his ADP drops from 10 to closer to 20-25 then I will become very interested as an RB2 rather than an RB1.

Lamar Jackson, QB Baltimore Ravens

ADP: #20.9 (QB2)

Fantasy Points: 308.56 (14th Overall)

Jackson defenders love to point to his 64.2% completion percentage as well as a few advanced metrics that suggest he is a quality passer, but anyone who has watched him knows it's "lies, damn lies, and statistics." He's a subpar thrower, the Ravens staff knows it and we saw in 2020 that the NFL is adapting to his game and the Ravens offense that was so unstoppable in 2019. If he was an elite, or even average thrower, he wouldn't rank in the bottom third in attempts and yards in back-to-back seasons. In 2020, he ranked tied for 23rd in passing attempts with Drew Brees who missed four games while Jackson missed one. In 2019, he ranked 26th in attempts on his way to an NFL MVP (and a Fantasy one if they were given out). He has rushed for 300 fewer yards, thrown for 500 less and passed for 13 fewer touchdowns through 15 games. Those numbers will rise with one remaining game and he did miss a game this season as well, but his regression is due to the league learning how to defend him and the Ravens run-scheme.

2021 Prediction

In a league where everyone is throwing for big yards, Jackson hasn't in two straight years and I don't expect him to going forward. Jackson is too physically gifted to be stopped, but his ceiling is limited by his sub-par throwing ability. The excuse that he doesn't have weapons will be used to bolster the argument that he is a quality passer, but he has one of the best tight end targets in the game, one of the most dangerous rushing offenses and his pass attempts and total yards are still well below the norm. J.K. Dobbins is going to be the player to roster on this team in 2021. The possibility that intrigues me is how far does Jackson's ADP fall in 2021. If it falls from his 2020 #20 to something closer to 90-100 like Aaron Rodgers' did, I am on board. Jackson never profiled to throw as well as Russel Wilson or DeShaun Watson, but he can get better and his weapons could use an upgrade as well. The floor is too high and there is still ceiling to dream on. He doesn't have the kind of room to improve like we saw with Josh Allen, but 300 or so yards and a 2019, 36 type touchdown pass season would open up that floor and elevate that ceiling. It's all about ADP in 2021 for Jackson. I don't think he'll fall far enough. I expect apologists to emerge rather than reality to set in, so I see a slightly lesser overdraft in 2021 than we saw in 2020 where he was one of the worst values in Fantasy football.

Mark Andrews, TE Baltimore Ravens

ADP: #42.1 (TE3)

Fantasy Points:  163.4 (65th Overall)

If you're going to use a high pick on a tight end you absolutely have to get stand-out production and while Andrews is one of the better tight ends, he isn't an elite pass-catching one. He had only two 100 yard receiving games in 2019 and he has none in 2020. Andrews is one of the better tight ends in football, but he isn't a Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, impact pass catcher. It's more prudent and a safer draft strategy to select a running back, wide receiver or quarterback in the 40's and low 50's all the way back to the '90s and 100's and stream the tight end position. There were only two tight ends with 70 or more receptions and 700 or more receiving yards. The position can't be relied upon for consistent weekly production. The position needs to be eliminated from Fantasy football, or at the very least, punted and streamed by Fantasy Team Managers. 

2021 Prediction

Andrews is a big target, an asset in the red zone, and a physical mismatch. And, I do expect Lamar Jackson to improve on his 2020 season in 2021, but I can't recommend drafting a tight end not named Kelce or Waller until the 90's come around and while I fully expect Andrews ADP to drop, I would be stunned to see it fall THAT far. Fade Andrews, because without 12-15 touchdowns he won't justify an ADP inside of 75. 

Honorable Mentions

Melvin Gordon, RB Denver Bronco's: ADP #37.1 - RB21 - Fantasy Scoring Ranking #53 

Devin Singletary, RB Buffalo Bills: ADP #55.3 - RB27 - Fantasy Scoring Ranking #87

Biggest Busts by ADP

2020 Biggest Busts by ADP (PPR)2020 ADP2020 Final FF Rank2020 Fantasy Points2020 Positional Ranking by ADP
Le'Veon Bell#34.8#185th74.6RB20
Clyde Edwards-Helaire#5.7#54th176RB5
James Conner#21.2#74th153.4RB15
Julio Jones#13.6#81st146.1WR3
Cam Akers#51.5#151st91.2RB24

** NOTE**

When listing a Non-Quarterback I used PPR Flex Season Rankings for overall Fantasy scoring in order to exclude quarterbacks due to their high point totals because they crowded the top of the rankings.When ranking quarterbacks I included ALL offensive players.

There is a difference between being disappointing and being a bust. Some, it's obvious. David Johnson circa 2019 is an example of an out and out bust for example. Sometimes, it's a slight distinction without much of a meaningful difference. This year, I consider Zeke Elliott a "Worst Value" and Clyde Edwards-Helaire a "Bust." Both were comparably disappointing with comparable expectations. Often times it's based on expectations. Did Fantasy analysts and Fantasy Team Managers make a mistake with their projections or did the player actually play bad...or was it a combination of both? That's where the distinction comes into play for me. Here are a few of my "Biggest Busts" for 2020.

Le'Veon Bell, RB New York Jets/Kansas City Chiefs

ADP: #34.8 (RB20)

Fantasy Points: 74.6 (185th Overall)

Fantasy Team Managers that bought into Bell in 2020 blamed the Jets for a respectable, but down 2019 season. He had 1,250 total yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns for a dysfunctional Jets team, so to see what we saw in 2020 wasn't all that obvious. There were concerns that the cliff was coming and obviously it has, but it wasn't staring us right in the face with a grim reaper grin.

Bell didn't have a single game of more than 80 total yards from scrimmage and only one with 11 Fantasy points or more and he needed a touchdown to do it. And, the majority of his games came with the high-powered Chiefs, not the lowly Jets. Bell was drafted as a RB1 by "Zero-RB Strategy" Fantasy Team Managers or as a low-end RB2/High-end RB3/Flex and he was completely worthless. He wasn't expected to carry a team but he was expected to be a must-start weekly contributor and he wasn't even close. He was worthless. That's a Bust. 

2021 Prediction

Bell's done. He could be taken as a flier in shallower leagues or as a "hope and a prayer" in deeper ones, but the game is gone. The cliff has come. It might be interesting to see where he lands though. Maybe he recommits himself and with an opportunity becomes a "Best Bargain" in 2021? I wouldn't bet on it, but Adrian Peterson is still contributing while LeSean McCoy is still in the league. What I'm sayin is there's still a chance!!! 

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB Kansas City Chiefs

ADP: #5.7 (RB5)

Fantasy Points: 176 (54th Overall)

Edwards-Helaire had a good rookie season by any reasonable measure in 2020. He rushed for 803 yards, had 36 receptions for 297 receiving yards and five total touchdowns in only 13 games played. The problem is he was drafted to be a potential Fantasy MVP as a RB1 and he finished 2020 as the 54th best overall player and 19th best running back at a position that is repeatedly accused of being thin. Expectations weren't reasonable and he fell significantly short of them.

The other weakness in his 2020 profile was inconsistency. He averaged only 13.5 Fantasy points per game in PPR formats. That ranked 22nd amongst running backs. Those rare games when he was good he was very good, but there were only three games when he accumulated more than 100 total yards from scrimmage (he had two "smash" games - as my Podcast Co-Host Peter Gofen likes to say - of 138 and 161 rushing yards). He only scored touchdowns in four of 13 games played and outside of his two bigtime efforts he didn't rush for more than 80 yards in any game. And, he had seven games of 46 rushing yards or less. That's the resume of a First Round Bust.

2021 Prediction

CEH is an explosive talent that has room to grow in 2021 and beyond but he also has limitations that are unlikely to diminish his future ADP, but will make him a yearly overdraft yet again in 2021. With an offense that likes to throw downfield, coached by Andy Reid and helmed by a quarterback (Patrick Mahomes) that could possibly finish his career as the best we ever saw, along with an almost unstoppable deep threat (Tyreek Hill) and one of the best pass-catching tight ends of the last 20 years, where are the touches and targets going to come from? Add to that his struggles in the red zone and running between the tackles on predictable running downs and distances and we have ourselves an above-average third-down and change of pace RB. He profiles to be better than that, but he isn't a true three-down running back and don't be surprised to see the Chiefs bring in a running back that can get those tough yards on early downs and in the red zone, damaging his future potential as well.

The positive are that he is an explosive talent and as the Chiefs grow comfortable with him as their RB1 they will target him in the passing game with defensive personnel mismatches and they will hand it off to him in passing situations where there is more space to run so he can use his unique combination of power and quickness to break off chunk plays. His ceiling is Austin Ekeler, not Alvin Kamara or Dalvin Cook and certainly not Christian McCaffery, though his size would best compare to C-Mac of this group. Fantasy Team Managers should expect a Top 10-12 RB rather than a Top 18-22 one, but that means they shouldn't be rushing out to invest a first-round pick chasing a career year. He doesn't profile to be a top five RB both physically or situationally. The touches and targets won't be there to fulfill those kinds of expectations either.

CEH is a "Bust" on this list because analysts made an enormous mistake endorsing his 2020 ADP while Fantasy Team Managers drafted him like a top-five player. In 2020, CEH was Todd Gurley while he was drafted ahead of Derrick Henry and Dalvin Cook. How is that not a bust? If he falls to the mid-teens in 2021 Edwards-Helaire becomes reasonable, though still slightly overdrafted. If he somehow falls to the second round he becomes a value. Unfortunately, I predict another top 10 ADP and so like I successfully did in 2020, I will be fading the hype. 

James Conner, RB Pittsburgh Steelers

ADP: #21.2 (RB15)

Fantasy Points:  153.4 (#74th Overall)

Conner fell short of some lofty expectations in 2019, but there were injuries that mitigated the disappointment for Fantasy owners. His ADP dropped entering 2020, but he was still drafted as a low-end RB2 or high-end Flex and while he was less disappointing than 2019, he disappointed Fantasy Team Managers again. 

2021 Prediction

Conner is a dual-threat running back with an ability to play on third down and contribute in the passing game. He was a 200+ carry runner in his breakout 2018 season, but with back-to-back seasons missing games due to injury, his projections will have to be adjusted to account for the expectation that this is what Conner is and his ADP should be impacted. He has the potential to be a nice value if he falls far enough down draft boards to be a true Flex option and I expect that to be the case in 2021.  

Julio Jones, WR Atlanta Falcons

ADP: #13.6 (WR3)

Fantasy Points: 146.1 (#81st Overall)

2020 has been peppered with missed games early, in the middle, and now to finish out the season for Jones. Sprinkled in amongst the missed games were bad ones as well, suggesting he played when maybe he shouldn't have. He had four games of 54 yards and five receptions or less and only three 100+ yard receiving games in nine starts. I list Jones as a bust even though injuries are mostly to blame for his disappointing season because I feel like Fantasy Team Managers should have taken potential injuries into consideration when it came to drafting Julio Jones and with an ADP of #13.6 - 81st overall scorer - he fell WAY short of expectations. Jones has played 14 games or more in seven of his last nine seasons, but it seems like he is always on the injury report, whether it be a game-time decision or a DNP on Thursdays. He had always battled through it and always played and always performed, until 2020. He would have been listed as a "worst value" regardless, but I feel the whiff of injury risk entering the draft season earns him the bust label. Fantasy Team Managers should have factored it in when they hit submit on draft day and they selected him unlucky 13th anyway.   

2021 Prediction

Calvin Ridley's emergence as a WR1 in 2020 is likely to impact Jones' targets and touches projections for 2021 and the injury-plagued season is likely to have an impact on Fantasy Team Managers' aggressiveness about him on draft day as well. I still expect him to be a top performer and a potential value if he falls into the low to mid-'20s, which could happen. He had five games of 94 receiving yards or more and three games of 137 receiving yards or more in 2020. Jones hasn't lost his fastball. It looks like he was banged up to the point where it finally impacted his ability to perform through it on the field. 

Cam Akers, RB Los Angeles Rams

ADP: #51.5 (RB24)

Fantasy Points: 91.2 (151st Overall)

I had high hopes for Akers entering the season and while being a disappointment as a rookie is always a risk you take when drafting a first-year player, the Rams waited almost the entire season to give him even a partial opportunity, resulting in more or less a lost season. He missed two games to injury, he had zero touches or targets in back-to-back games in October and he had double-digit carries in only five of 12 games where he was active. Three of those double-digit carry games were in December and his breakout performance, December 6th, came out of nowhere so Akers was likely on the bench or the waiver wire at the time. December 10th against New England Akers had 29 carries, 171 yards rushing and 23 yards receiving. For those that started him that day they got what was probably the only productive start of his Fantasy season. The next week, 15 carries, 63 rushing yards, and no touchdowns. A bust. With an ADP of #51.5, expectations were muted entering the season, making the "Bust" label slightly aggressive on my part, but he was drafted as a Flex starter or low-end RB2 and he was worthless. By the time the Rams gave him an opportunity the Fantasy season was basically over or Fantasy Team Managers had cut bait and dumped him on the waiver wire already (except me who carried him all year). 

2021 Prediction

I thought he had a chance to be the best rookie running back of his class and possibly the rookie of the year. He has that kind of running potential. He isn't quite as explosive as Clyde Edwards-Helaire and he doesn't have the receiving potential of CEH, but he profiles as a better pure runner between the tackles and he should receive a larger percentage of the target share with the Rams than Edwards-Helaire will in Kansas City. CEH is going to be drafted much higher but I am sticking to my guns and predicting Akers will be the better Fantasy running back and that starts in 2021. The Rams gave him the full-time opportunities in December that I expected he would receive from day one and that I expect he will get in 2021. The problem is Akers will be on everybody's radar. He will be anaysts breakout darling. He will be hyped so much that he won't even be on sleeper lists. The draft-season sizzle is likely to catapult his ADP into the second round.  Drafting him means reaching for his ceiling rather than chasing his upside, which is what happened in 2020. Right now I would rank him ahead of CEH, but behind Jonathan Taylor (slightly) and J.K. Dobbins even though I like Akers better than all three. I'm going to be bullish on Akers in 2021 with the full knowledge that he won't be a good value on draft day. 

Best Bargains by ADP

Every season there are players that fall through the cracks on draft day or crash into opportunities due to injury or unforeseeable circumstances. Sometimes it's a "handcuff" running back like Mike Davis or a rookie blocked by an aging veteran like James Robinson when Leonard Fournette was released. Sometimes it's a rookie wide receiver that we weren't quite sure would hit in year one like Justin Jefferson. Regardless of the reason, it's a big-league loaded with talented players and we can't identify them all in the pre-season. 2020 made it even more difficult because we didn't have a pre-season and going forward, that may become the norm. Here are some of the best 2020 bargains based on ADP.

2020 Best Bargains by ADP2020 ADP2020 Final FF Rank2020 Fantasy Points2020 Positional Ranking by ADP
James Robinson#152#14th250.4RB58
Justin Jefferson#129.2#12th (Tied)251.9WR51
Justin Herbert#346#10th**299.86QB35
Ryan Tannehill#159.2#7th**315.92QB21
Robby Anderson#177#23rd217.1WR67
Cole Beasley#179#32nd207.5WR69

** NOTE**

When listing a Non-Quarterback I used PPR Flex Season Rankings for overall Fantasy scoring in order to exclude quarterbacks due to their high point totals because they crowded the top of the rankings.When ranking quarterbacks I included ALL offensive players.

James Robinson, RB Jacksonville Jaguars

ADP: #152 (RB58)

Fantasy Points: 250.4 (#14th Overall)

Leonard Fournette was released 13 days before the Jaguars opening day tilt against the Indianapolis Colts. Handcuffs have become less and less popular in Fantasy Football and Robinson wasn't a very strong candidate even if they were more commonplace. He was unheralded in the draft and without a pre-season, there wasn't any reporting or buzz to put him on the radar. The Jaguars were a bad team but Robinson was a really good running back and a fantastic bargain. He rushed for over 1,000 yards, 344 receiving yards, 49 receptions, and 10 total touchdowns as a dual-threat rookie. He had 10 games of 90 total yards or more from scrimmage, scored a touchdown in eight games and averaged 17.9 Fantasy points per game in PPR formats. Robinson won people money at a bargain price in 2020.

2021 Prediction

Robinson cooled down at the end of 2020 but he showed that he is a true three-down running back after ranking fourth in rushing attempts and seventh in passing targets for running backs with 60. He doesn't pop off the charts skill-set wise like a McCaffery, Dalvin Cook or even Aaron Jones, but he has as good if not a better overall profile than comparable running backs like David Montgomery or potentially Jonathan Taylor because of his abilities in the passing game. He'll be in the mix in the first round and it seems impossible right now to see how he isn't a low-end RB1 that is gone by the end of round two. 2020 was absolutely a breakout bargain and 2021 is when Fantasy Team Managers will have to pay for it at the draft table. With Trevor Lawrence under center, D.J. Chark and Laviska Shenault running routes, and Robinson toting the rock, the 1-15 Jaguars are going to be an extremely intriguing Fantasy roster to pick from in 2021.

Justin Jefferson, WR Minnesota Vikings

ADP: #129.2 (WR51)

Fantasy Points: 251.9 (Tied #12th Overall)

I am always skeptical of rookies, especially wide receivers, and I was still skeptical of Jefferson after he first broke out in week three with a 175-yard receiving game but I was clearly wrong. Six 100+ receiving games, including four of 120 or more, seven total touchdowns and five touchdown games, and 1,267 receiving yards. Rookies don't finish in the top 15-20 very often but Jefferson did and he brought the beast consistently. He had a few bust games, all do, but it was rare - four at most.

2021 Prediction

Jefferson doesn't have the freak "Julio Jones" kind of skill set that explodes off the screen during draft prep. He was always more than just a possession guy at LSU, and his skill set is much better than that label suggests, but at this elite world-class level, he profiles slightly less explosive than the other elite young wide receivers - like DK Metcalf for example. In 2020, that didn't matter and it's hard to argue it should. The numbers are overwhelming and he did it with a WR1 alongside him in Adam Thielen and one of the best Fantasy players in the game in Dalvin Cook toting the rock as the primary focus of the Vikings offense and if those weren't enough of an obstacle, Kirk Cousins isn't exactly the best thrower of the pigskin. These will all be used to argue against Jefferson as a WR1 in 2021 drafts and they are compelling arguments, but the kid is obviously special. He was maybe the best bargain in Fantasy football this season and the potential narratives against him could suppress his ADP, making him a draft day value once again. I'll be watching closely because I want my shares of Jefferson in 2021.

Justin Herbert, QB Los Angeles Chargers

ADP: #346 (QB35)

Fantasy Points: 299.86 (#10th Overall)

Rookie quarterbacks often sit a few games or even half a season and when they do play even the best have their bumps and their bruises on the way to becoming stars, but Herbert mostly avoided those obstacles. Herbert played in 14 games (15 if he plays week 17) after Tyrod Taylor was sabotaged by his trainer who collapsed his lung and cost him his 2020 season and he had only two games of fewer than 240 passing yards. He only rushed for 255 yards, a relatively small amount in today's hyper-mobile game, but 25 Fantasy points on the ground with four rushing touchdowns helped too. 

2021 Prediction

Herbert is mobile enough to keep the floor high and he has already shown that he could be one of the elite passers in the game. Austin Ekeler will be a big help out of the backfield and in the passing game and Keenan Allen is the WR1 target that young quarterbacks need to become elite Fantasy ones. It's foreseeable that he is a better Fantasy quarterback than Aaron Rodgers was this season as early as 2021 and he had an ADP close to 100 and finished the season as a top five Fantasy QB. That's Herberts potential and he is already almost there in his rookie season. Nobody is Patrick Mahomes, he doesn't run like the extremely mobile elite like Murray and Lamar at the position so passing touchdowns and yards are going to have to be his ticket. That should limit how high his ADP rises and should make him a consistent top 5-10 QB with a reasonable draft-day price tag. You may want to stack Hunter Henry with Herbert and maximize the "Double-Whammy" potential in Los Angeles.

Ryan Tannehill, QB Tennessee Titans

ADP: #159.2 (QB21)

Fantasy Points: 315.92 (#7th Overall)

A team that has the league leader in rushing attempts and rushing yards (Derrick Henry) isn't the place to go to target a quarterback and in 2020 nobody did. He was drafted outside the top 20 at his position which means he was a bench player even in two-QB leagues, but he was efficient. Tannehill is exactly how Fantasy Team Managers should go about winning leagues. Use early picks for running backs and elite wide receivers and hope to find a bargain at quarterback that performs like a top 10 difference-maker. He did have only two 300+ yard passing games and he threw for under 200 yards four times (that's almost Lamar Jackson territory), but he threw for 32 touchdowns and rushed for another five.  

2021 Prediction

Tannehill has good weapons in Corey Davis, AJ Brown is a WR1 that doesn't quite get that level of respect, and Jonnu Smith is one of the better tight ends in a poor field of options. That's the good part of Tannehill's 2021 profile. Derrick Henry, a bushel full of carries and a run-first offense is the bad. Tannehill has too many anemic games to truly buy into him as a consistent top 10 Fantasy quarterback and his skill set doesn't sizzle. That's actually good. At a bargain he is a safe, reliable contributor just like he is as an NFL quarterback. Don't target him as a must-start QB. Let him fall to you and if you are a contrarian like myself, draft two quarterbacks. One, Tannehill, to be your safe, reliable option and then with the other chase some upside and hope for a smash breakout season like we saw from Lamar Jackson in 2019, Justin Herbert in 2020 and possibly...Jalen Hurts or Trevor Lawrence in 2021? I think a second QB is worth the roster spot and Tannehill is the type of guy that allows you to both chase the heavens and stay safe and grounded at the same time.

Honorable Mentions

I don't trust either Anderson or Beasley to be league-altering monsters at the position going forward but I like their skill sets and they are the types of late-round wide receivers I target. Players in situations with opportunities coming, a relatively unproven track record of elite performance but a track record that suggests Fantasy viable ability. Then, look at the situation. Beasley is more of a possession guy and Anderson with big-play ability, but both fell into new situations that had something of a breakout season. Carolina with the addition of Teddy Bridgewater and injuries to Christian McCaffery turned into a good spot for Anderson while Beasley was the possession guy for a huge breakout season from Josh Allen. Look to Justin Herbert and Joe Burrow to be two of those places where these kinds of breakouts could happen for a relatively underappreciated wide receiver in 2021. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles is another and don't write off New England. If they add someone that can throw that's a situation to find a gem like Beasley and Anderson were this season.   

Robby Anderson, WR Carolina Panthers

ADP: #177 (WR67)

Fantasy Points: 217.1 (#23rd Overall)

Cole Beasley, WR Buffalo Bills

ADP: #179 (WR69)

Fantasy Points: 207.5 (#32nd Overall)

Zero Running Back Strategy

The Zero Running Back strategy is a drafting philosophy that emerged out of unwanted circumstances. Rather than have analysts and Fantasy Team Managers admit they basically punted the RB position because they couldn't justify paying an elevated price for a relatively pedestrian player, they devised a "philosophy" to make it sound like it was intentional and now, the excuse has become a strategy. The question that arises now after it's become a part of the yearly draft-day narrative is "What is the "Zero Running Back strategy?" How to define it. A general description is that it is like Position Scarcity, a common Fantasy baseball term and mistake made by Fantasy players. It's also applied to tight ends and is becoming one for running backs to a lesser degree as well, but catchers and for awhile shortstops in Fantasy baseball were the genesis of it. Basically, the Zero Running Back Strategy is when Fantasy Team Managers draft the best available player rather than reach for lesser running backs because the position is thinning out. It's a common dilemma in the later second round or mid-third and once you're on that path it dominoes from there. In 2020, did you draft James Connor at #21, David Johnson, Melvin Gordon or Todd Gurley at picks 25-40 or did you select higher rated overall players like George Kittle, Kenny Golladay, Mike Evans or Adam Thielen?  That's the dilemma. Did you draft David Johnson and all his baggage, who finished 2020 with 158.5 Fantasy points in PPR formats and it took a monster week 16 to do that, or a WR1 like Adam Thielen and his 244.3 Fantasy points? 

The next question is, is it "A Zero Running Back Strategy" if Fantasy Team Managers that used it successfully claimed what turned out to be a RB1 or RB2 off the waiver wire rather than built a roster based on the philosophy? Someone like Mike Davis who emerged because of an injury to Christian McCaffery or James Robinson who had an ADP of #152 and was a Free Agent in some leagues until Leonard Fournette was released on September 1? I think, to adapt the strategy to the reality of Fantasy football, the philosophy needs to accept certain risks and uncertainty if you are going to choose it of free will rather than divine intervention. The strategy starts on draft day but it assumes that successful picking of the waiver wire will be required in order for the approach to work. We see this in Fantasy baseball all the time. Experts scream from the rooftops every draft season, "DON'T DRAFT CLOSERS EARLY!!!%$&(%_)&(#%*. They preach this because saves are available at the end of drafts from middling closers or from "closer by committee" situations. And, closers lose their jobs at an alarming rate in Fantasy baseball. In Fantasy football, the same circumstances occur. Starters get injured, players emerge. In order to implement the "Zero Running Back Strategy" Fantasy Team Managers need to accept that it will not be a successful approach if they don't vigilantly attack the waiver wire. It's an extremely risky strategy because it's extremely difficult to predict what running backs will emerge and it's even more difficult, borderline impossible, to predict injuries. Drafting and carrying handcuffs was once a common approach, but it has lost favor because running back by committee situations have become routine, making more running backs less valuable but even more somewhat viable as well. Alexander Mattison of the Minnesota Vikings has the skill set to be an elite Fantasy running back and Dalvin Cook has had some durability issues in his short but distinguished career and yet, handcuffing Cook with Mattison this season was a waste of a roster spot. However, if you were a Fantasy owner that used the strategy and was successful picking clean the waiver wire then there were enough running backs to make ti work. It's a low-percentage strategy that I struggle to advocate for, but in shallow leagues especially, it can work. Here are a few running backs that contributed in varying degrees that could have assisted in the strategy winning bank in 2020.

'2020 Zero RB Contributors'2020 Average Draft Position'2020 Fantasy Points'2020 Rushing Yards'2020 Receiving Yards'2020 TDs
James Robinson#152 (RB58)250.41,07034410
Mike Davis#243 (RB78)206.56423758
J.D. McKissic#239 (RB76)183.43655593
Nyheim Hines#147.6(RB55)180.53634327
Wayne Gallman#355 (RB114)130.16171146
Miles Gaskin#308 (RB103)146.55643314
Jeff WIlson Jr. #343 (RB111)118.55241218

As you can see, finding a full-time running back extremely late in the draft or on the waiver wire is an extreme challenge. Mike Davis was active for all 15 Panthers games but he had six games with 11 rushing attempts or less and six games with six targets or less. Hard to call that a "full-time" running back. James Robinson was the exception, but a unique one. He became the go-to guy on Sept 1, two weeks before the opener but after a lot of Fantasy drafts had already happened. One of the safer approaches when using this strategy is to target pass catchers and change of pace backs like James White, J.D. McKissic and Nyheim Hines. They don't contribute in the run game as much as we may like, but beggars can't be choosers and they made this strategy workable in 2020, especially in PPR formats. 

There are some drawbacks that make this strategy problematic as well. Most of these running backs contributed in short bursts rather than consistent, reliable, long term periods. I didn't list every running back that may have contributed in a meaningful way in even one or two games, like Cam Akers who had a nice two-game stretch late in the season, but there are a lot of them. This makes it theoretically possible but it also exacerbates the difficulty of choosing the right one. By implementing this strategy Fantasy Team Managers are essentially streaming the RB2 position. It's difficult to maintain, especially if the philosophy is actually working. If you are winning then your waiver wire position is worse, making it more and more difficult to acquire the hot waiver-wire running back you need to stream each week. It's almost impossible to predict who the "next man up" will be but you are going to have to do your research and find a way to be ahead of the curve. The ideal situation is to hit on a James Robinson late in the draft and be set for the season, but don't expect this to be the case, especially if you play in multiple leagues and implement this approach in all of them. The math is against you here. The odds are slim. But, as you see here and if you scroll through the final Fantasy Scoring rankings, there are RBs that did contribute enough to be viable contributors that can make this approach work.

Good Luck and Happy New Year everyone. You can follow me on Twitter @CJMitch73 


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Chris Mitchell

Chris Mitchell began his Fantasy Sports Writing/Podcasting career with, writing about Minor League Prospects, Fantasy Football and Baseball. He won a 2017 FSWA award for "Best Comedy Article" and was Nominated for "Best Fantasy Podcast” in 2018. He has worked as a freelance writer and season-long contributor to and as a Daily Fantasy Sports analyst for His content has appeared in a multiple of outlets like The AP, The New York Daily Post, USAToday, and more. He is President of Bosco Nation, where his Podcasts can be found BlogTalkRadio


The NFL is back and these are the top 50 players in fantasy football

Patrick Mahomes plays in the 2021 preseason.
Christian Petersen/Getty Images
  • Fantasy football season is almost here.
  • We've put together a consensus ranking based on the predictions of fantasy experts.
  • There's no wrong way to draft your team, but a bit of guidance from experts never hurts.

Football season is fast approaching, and with it comes fantasy football.

While there's no foolproof way of drafting your fantasy team, it's key to get your first few picks right if you hope to compete for your league's championship.

With the help of Fantasy Pros, we gathered the rankings of 22 experts from The Washington Post, Sports Illustrated, Pro Football Focus, Yahoo! Sports, The Athletic, Walter Football, FantasyPros, and CBS Sports, and compiled them into one list.

Running backs are once again the most vital position in the game, while a deep and talented pool of wide receivers make the position quite interesting from a drafting perspective.

Take a look below and plan out your strategy for the first few rounds of your upcoming draft.

1. Christian McCaffrey — RB, Carolina Panthers

Christian McCaffrey
Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports

Bye week: 13

2020 stats: 225 rushing yards, 149 receiving yards, 6 touchdowns, 90.4 fantasy points

2. Dalvin Cook — RB, Minnesota Vikings

Bye week: 7

2020 stats: 1,557 rushing yards, 361 receiving yards, 17 touchdowns, 337.8 fantasy points

3. Derrick Henry — RB, Tennessee Titans

Bye week: 13

2020 stats: 2,027 rushing yards, 114 receiving yards, 17 touchdowns, 333.1 fantasy points

4. Ezekiel Elliott — RB, Dallas Cowboys

Bye week: 7

2020 stats: 979 rushing yards, 338 receiving yards, 8 touchdowns, 223.7 fantasy points

5. Alvin Kamara — RB, New Orleans Saints

Bye week: 6

2020 stats: 932 rushing yards, 756 receiving yards, 21 touchdowns, 377.8 fantasy points

6. Nick Chubb — RB, Cleveland Browns

Bye week: 13

2020 stats: 1,067 rushing yards, 150 receiving yards, 12 touchdowns, 207.7 fantasy points

7. Aaron Jones — RB, Green Bay Packers

Bye week: 13

2020 stats: 1,104 rushing yards, 355 receiving yards, 11 touchdowns, 258.9 fantasy points

8. Jonathan Taylor — RB, Indianapolis Colts

Bye week: 14

2020 stats: 1,169 rushing yards, 299 receiving yards, 12 touchdowns, 252.8 fantasy points

9. Saquon Barkley — RB, New York Giants

AP Photo/Bill Kostroun

Bye week: 10

2020 stats: 34 rushing yards, 60 receiving yards, 0 touchdowns, 15.4 fantasy points

10. Tyreek Hill — WR, Kansas City Chiefs

Bye week: 12

2020 stats: 87 receptions, 1,276 receiving yards, 17 touchdowns, 328.9 fantasy points

11. Davante Adams — WR, Green Bay Packers

Bye week: 13

2020 stats: 115 receptions, 1,374 receiving yards, 18 touchdowns, 358.4 fantasy points

12. Stefon Diggs — WR, Buffalo Bills

Bye week: 7

2020 stats: 127 receptions, 1,535 receiving yards, 8 touchdowns, 328.6 fantasy points

13. Calvin Ridley — WR, Atlanta Falcons

Bye week: 6

2020 stats: 90 receptions, 1,374 receiving yards, 9 touchdowns, 281.5 fantasy points

14. Antonio Gibson — RB, Washington Football Team

Bye week: 9

2020 stats: 794 rushing yards, 247 receiving yards, 11 touchdowns, 202.2 fantasy points

15. Travis Kelce — TE, Kansas City Chiefs

Bye week: 12

2020 stats: 105 receptions, 1,416 receiving yards, 11 touchdowns, 312.8 fantasy points

16. Joe Mixon — RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Bye week: 10

2020 stats: 428 rushing yards, 138 receiving yards, 4 touchdowns, 99.6 fantasy points

17. Najee Harris — RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

Bye week: 7

2020 stats: N/A

18. D.K. Metcalf — WR, Seattle Seahawks

DK Metcalf
AP Photo/Rick Scuteri

Bye week: 9

2020 stats: 83 receptions, 1,303 receiving yards, 10 touchdowns, 271.3 fantasy points

19. DeAndre Hopkins — WR, Arizona Cardinals

Bye week: 12

2020 stats: 115 receptions, 1,407 receiving yards, 6 touchdowns, 287.8 fantasy points

20. Darren Waller — TE, Las Vegas Raiders

Bye week: 8

2020 stats: 107 receptions, 1,196 receiving yards, 9 touchdowns, 278.6 fantasy points

21. A.J. Brown — WR, Tennessee Titans

Bye week: 13

2020 stats: 70 receptions, 1,075 receiving yards, 11 touchdowns, 247.5 fantasy points

22. Justin Jefferson — WR, Minnesota Vikings

Bye week: 7

2020 stats: 88 receptions, 1,400 receiving yards, 7 touchdowns, 274.2 fantasy points

23. Patrick Mahomes — QB, Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes plays in the 2021 preseason.
Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Bye week: 12

2020 stats: 4,740 passing yards, 38 passing touchdowns, 6 interceptions, 308 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns, 374.4 fantasy points

24. Austin Ekeler — RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Bye week: 7

2020 stats: 530 rushing yards, 403 receiving yards, 3 touchdowns, 165.3 fantasy points

25. George Kittle — TE, San Francisco 49ers

Bye week: 6

2020 stats: 48 receptions, 634 receiving yards, 2 touchdowns, 125.1 fantasy points

26. J.K. Dobbins — RB, Baltimore Ravens

Bye week: 8

2020 stats: 805 rushing yards, 120 receiving yards, 9 touchdowns, 168.5 fantasy points

27. Clyde Edwards-Helaire — RB, Kansas City Chiefs

Bye week: 12

2020 stats: 803 rushing yards, 297 receiving yards, 5 touchdowns, 176 fantasy points

28. Allen Robinson — WR, Chicago Bears

Bye week: 10

2020 stats: 102 receptions, 1,250 receiving yards, 6 touchdowns, 262.9 fantasy points

29. David Montgomery — RB, Chicago Bears

Bye week: 10

2020 stats: 1,070 rushing yards, 438 receiving yards, 10 touchdowns, 264.8 fantasy points

30. Terry McLaurin — WR, Washington Football Team

Bye week: 9

2020 stats: 87 receptions, 1,118 receiving yards, 4 touchdowns, 223.8 fantasy points

31. CeeDee Lamb — WR, Dallas Cowboys

Bye week: 7

2020 stats: 74 receptions, 935 receiving yards, 6 touchdowns, 217.7 fantasy points

32. Chris Carson — RB, Seattle Seahawks

Bye week: 9

2020 stats: 681 rushing yards, 287 receiving yards, 9 touchdowns, 187.8 fantasy points

33. Mike Evans — WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Bye week: 9

2020 stats: 70 receptions, 1,006 receiving yards, 13 touchdowns, 248.6 fantasy points

34. Keenan Allen — WR, Los Angeles Chargers

Bye week: 7

2020 stats: 100 receptions, 992 receiving yards, 8 touchdowns, 245.1 fantasy points

35. Darrell Henderson — RB, Los Angeles Rams

Bye week: 11

2020 stats: 624 rushing yards, 159 receiving yards, 6 touchdowns, 130.3 fantasy points

36. Chris Godwin — WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chris Godwin
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Bye week: 9

2020 stats: 65 receptions, 840 receiving yards, 7 touchdowns, 191 fantasy points

37. D.J. Moore — WR, Carolina Panthers

Bye week: 13

2020 stats: 66 receptions, 1,193 receiving yards, 4 touchdowns, 211.5 fantasy points

38. Amari Cooper — WR, Dallas Cowboys

Bye week: 7

2020 stats: 92 receptions, 1,114 receiving yards, 5 touchdowns, 236.8 fantasy points

39. Robert Woods — WR, Los Angeles Rams

Bye week: 11

2020 stats: 90 receptions, 936 receiving yards, 8 touchdowns, 245.1 fantasy points

40. Josh Allen — QB, Buffalo Bills

Bye week: 7

2020 stats: 4,544 passing yards, 37 passing touchdowns, 10 interceptions, 421 rushing yards, 8 rushing touchdowns, 396.1 fantasy points

41. Josh Jacobs — RB, Las Vegas Raiders

Bye week: 8

2020 stats: 1,065 rushing yards, 238 receiving yards, 12 touchdowns, 231.3 fantasy points

42. D'Andre Swift — RB, Detroit Lions

Bye week: 9

2020 stats: 521 rushing yards, 357 receiving yards, 10 touchdowns, 189.8 fantasy points

43. Julio Jones — WR, Tennessee Titans

Bye week: 13

2020 stats: 51 receptions, 771 receiving yards, 3 touchdowns, 146.1 fantasy points

44. Miles Sanders — RB, Philadelphia Eagles

Bye week: 14

2020 stats: 867 rushing yards, 197 receiving yards, 6 touchdowns, 170.4 fantasy points

45. Cooper Kupp — WR, Los Angeles Rams

Cooper Kupp
Meg Oliphant/Getty Images

Bye week: 11

2020 stats: 92 receptions, 974 receiving yards, 3 touchdowns, 208.7 fantasy points

46. Tyler Lockett — WR, Seattle Seahawks

Bye week: 9

2020 stats: 100 receptions, 1,054 receiving yards, 10 touchdowns, 265.4 fantasy points

47. Adam Thielen — WR, Minnesota Vikings

Bye week: 7

2020 stats: 74 receptions, 925 receiving yards, 14 touchdowns, 254 fantasy points

48. Brandon Aiyuk — WR, San Francisco 49ers

Bye week: 6

2020 stats: 60 receptions, 748 receiving yards, 7 touchdowns, 184.5 fantasy points

49. Kyler Murray — QB, Arizona Cardinals

Bye week: 12

2020 stats: 3,971 passing yards, 26 passing touchdowns, 12 interceptions, 819 rushing yards, 11 rushing touchdowns, 378.7 fantasy points

50. Mark Andrews — TE, Baltimore Ravens

Bye week: 8

2020 stats: 58 receptions, 701 receiving yards, 7 touchdowns, 170.1 fantasy points

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2020 best picks nfl fantasy

How can you win your fantasy football league? Simple: Just draft the best players.

That's obviously easier said than done, of course. Should you use your first-round pick on a workhorse running back or an elite wide receiver? How soon is too soon to draft a quarterback? And what the heck should you do at tight end?

One way to get your fantasy ducks in a row is to have a Top 100 overall list, which ranks players by their value regardless of position and can help you determine when you should take them in your draft.

Download the MyTeams app for the latest Patriots news and analysis

Without further ado, below is our Top 100, which is based on half-PPR scoring with standard (one-quarterback) rosters:

1. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Panthers (Bye Week: 13)
2. Saquon Barkley, RB, Giants (11)
3. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys (10)
4. Michael Thomas, WR, Saints (6)
5. Alvin Kamara, RB, Saints (6)
6. Davante Adams, WR, Packers (5)
7. Derrick Henry, RB, Titans (7)
8. Dalvin Cook, RB, Vikings (7)
9. Julio Jones, WR, Falcons (10)
10. Tyreek Hill, WR, Chiefs (10)
11. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Cardinals (8)
12. Nick Chubb, RB, Browns (9)
13. Aaron Jones, RB, Packers (5)
14. Chris Godwin, WR, Buccaneers (13)
15. Kenny Golladay, WR, Lions (5)
16. Joe Mixon, RB, Bengals (9)
17. Mike Evans, WR, Buccaneers(13)
18. Amari Cooper, WR, Cowboys (10)
19. Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs (10)
20. Josh Jacobs, RB, Raiders (6)
21. George Kittle, TE, 49ers (11)
22. Austin Ekeler, RB, Chargers (10)
23. Cooper Kupp, WR, Rams (9)
24. Miles Sanders, RB, Eagles (9)
25. Chris Carson, RB, Seahawks (6)
25. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs (10)
27. JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, Steelers (8)
28. Adam Thielen, WR, Vikings (7)
29. Robert Woods, WR, Rams (9)
30. Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens (8)
31. Melvin Gordon, RB, Broncos (8)
32. Allen Robinson, WR, Bears (11)
33. Kenyan Drake, RB, Cardinals (8)
34. Calvin Ridley, WR, Falcons (10)
35. Odell Beckham Jr., WR, Browns (9)
36. AJ Brown, WR, Titans (7)
37. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Chiefs (10)
38. Leonard Fournette, RB, Jaguars (7)
39. DJ Moore, WR, Panthers (13)
40. Tyler Lockett, WR, Seahawks (6)
41. DeVante Parker, WR, Dolphins (11)
42. Le'Veon Bell, RB, Jets (11)
43. Todd Gurley, RB, Falcons (10)
44. Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens (8)
45. Keenan Allen, WR, Chargers (10)
46. Stefon Diggs, WR, Bills (11)
47. James Conner, RB, Steelers (8)
48. Courtland Sutton, WR, Broncos (8)
49. TY Hilton, WR, Colts (7)
50. DJ Chark, WR, Jaguars (7)
51. Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills (11)
52. Raheem Mostert, RB, 49ers (11)
53. Zach Ertz, TE, Eagles (9)
54. Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys (10)
55. D.K. Metcalf, WR, Seahawks (6)
56. Terry McLaurin, WR, Redskins (8)
57. David Johnson, RB, Texans (8)
58. James White, RB, Patriots (6)
59. Russell Wilson, QB, Seahawks (6)
60. Darren Waller, TE, Raiders (6)
61. A.J. Green, WR, Bengals (9)
62. Deebo Samuel, WR, 49ers (11)
63. D'Andre Swift, RB, Lions (5)
64. Kyler Murray, QB, Cardinals (8)
65. Mark Ingram II, RB, Ravens (8)
66. Tyler Boyd, WR, Bengals (9)
67. Evan Engram, TE, Giants (11)
68. Deshaun Watson, QB, Texans (8)
69. Jarvis Landry, WR, Browns (9)
70. Derrius Guice, RB, Redskins (8)
71. Michael Gallup, WR, Cowboys (10)
72. Hunter Henry, TE, Chargers (10)
73. Julian Edelman, WR, Patriots (6)
74. Marquise Brown, WR, Ravens (8)    
75. Tyler Higbee, TE, Rams (9)
76. Drew Brees, QB, Saints (6)
77. Matt Breida, RB, Dolphins (11) 
78. John Brown, WR, Bills (11)   
79. Will Fuller, WR, Texans (8)    
80. Josh Allen, Bills (11)
81. Cam Akers, RB, Rams (9)
82. Jared Cook, TE, Saints (6)
83. Christian Kirk, WR, Cardinals (8)   
84. Brandin Cooks, WR, Texans (8)  
85. Carson Wentz, QB, Eagles (9)
86. Tarik Cohen, RB, Bears (11)
87. Sterling Shepard, WR, Giants (11)
88. Phillip Lindsay, RB, Broncos  (8)  
89. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers (5)
90. Jordan Howard, RB, Eagles (9)  
91. Sony Michel, RB, Patriots (6)
92. Austin Hooper, TE, Browns (9)
93. Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Saints (6)   
94. Latavius Murray, RB, Saints (6)
95. Ronald Jones II, RB, Buccaneers (13)
96. Mike Gesicki, TE, Dolphins (11)
97. Matt Ryan, QB, Falcons (10)
98. Anthony Miller, WR, Bears (11)
99. Darius Slayton, WR, Giants (11)
100. Rob Gronkowski, TE, Buccaneers (13)


Want to win your fantasy football draft? Simple. Just pick the best players.

OK, that's not the most helpful advice. But what can be helpful is knowing which positions to target in each round, and how to get the most value out of every pick.

For example, quarterbacks usually are the highest-scoring players in fantasy. But you don't need to burn a first-round pick on a QB because the position is so deep. (Justin Herbert, the ninth-best player in fantasy last season, was a late-round pick in many 2020 drafts.)

On the other hand, you'll probably want to snag an elite running back within the first two or three rounds. The drop-off between the small group of top performers and the middle of the pack is steep, so that small group inherently has more value.

That's what the Top 100 is all about: determining value. Here are the Top 100 players in fantasy football entering the 2021 season.

Fantasy Football Top 100 player rankings 2021

1. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers (Bye Week: 13)

2. Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings (7)

3. Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans (13)

4. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints (6)

5. Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants (10)

6. Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers (13)

7. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys (7)

8. Austin Ekeler, RB, Los Angeles Chargers (7)

9. Jonathan Taylor, RB, Indianapolis Colts (14)

10. Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs (12)

11. Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs (12)

12. Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns (9)

13. Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals (10)

14. Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers (13)

15. Stefon Diggs, WR, Buffalo Bills (7)

16. Najee Harris, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers (7)

17. Calvin Ridley, WR, Atlanta Falcons (6)

18. D.K. Metcalf, WR, Seattle Seahawks (9)

19. Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington Football Team (9)

20. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Arizona Cardinals (12)

21. D'Andre Swift, RB, Detroit Lions (9)

22. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Kansas City Chiefs (12)

23. A.J. Brown, WR, Tennessee Titans (13)

24. Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6)

25. Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings (7)

26. George Kittle, TE, San Francisco 49ers (6)

27. Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs (12)

28. Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington Football Team (9)

29. Darren Waller, TE, Las Vegas Raiders (8)

30. Chris Carson, RB, Seattle Seahawks (9)

31. David Montgomery, RB, Chicago Bears (10)

32. Josh Jacobs, RB, Las Vegas Raiders (8)

33. Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers (7)

34. Allen Robinson, WR, Chicago Bears (10)

35. Miles Sanders, RB, Philadelphia Eagles (7)

36. Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys (7)

37. Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills (7)

38. Julio Jones, WR, Tennessee Titans (13)

39. Chris Godwin, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9)

40. CeeDee Lamb, WR, Dallas Cowboys (7)

41. Myles Gaskin, RB, Miami Dolphins (14)

42. Robert Woods, WR, Los Angeles Rams (11)

43. Kareem Hunt, RB, Cleveland Browns (7)

44. Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks (9)

45. Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams (11)

46. Odell Beckham Jr., WR, Cleveland Browns (13)

47. Kenny Golladay, WR, New York Giants (10)

48. Ja'Marr Chase, WR, Cincinnati Bengals (10)

49. Mark Andrews, TE, Baltimore Ravens (8)

50. Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints (6)

51. Brandon Aiyuk, WR, San Francisco 49ers (6)

52. Diontae Johnson, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers (7)

53. Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals (12)

54. James Robinson, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars (7)

55. T.J. Hockenson, TE, Detroit Lions (9)

56. D.J. Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers (13)

57. Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens (8)

58. Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals (10)

59. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers (13)

60. Courtland Sutton, WR, Denver Broncos (11)

61. Mike Davis, RB, Atlanta Falcons (7)

62. D.J. Chark, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars (7)

63. Kyle Pitts, TE, Atlanta Falcons (6)

64. Chase Edmonds, RB, Arizona Cardinals (12)

65. Chase Claypool, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers (7)

66. Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys (7)

67. Javonte Williams, RB, Denver Broncos (11)

68. Gus Edwards, RB, Baltimore Ravens (8)

69. Raheem Mostert, RB, San Francisco 49ers (6)

70. Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers (6)

71. Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks (9)

72. Michael Carter, RB, New York Jets (6)

73. JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers (7)

74. Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers (7)

75. Damien Harris, RB, New England Patriots (14)

76. Robby Anderson, WR, Carolina Panthers (13)

77. Brandin Cooks, WR, Houston Texans (10)

78. Dallas Goedert, TE, Philadelphia Eagles (14)

79. Ronald Jones II, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9)

80. Will Fuller V, WR, Miami Dolphins (14)

81. Jerry Jeudy, WR, Denver Broncos (11)

82. Melvin Gordon III, RB, Denver Broncos (11)

83. Curtis Samuel, WR, Washington Football Team (9)

84. James Conner, RB, Arizona Cardinals (12)

85. DeVonta Smith, WR, Philadelphia Eagles (14)

86. Darrell Henderson, RB, Los Angeles Rams (11)

87. Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles (14)

88. Noah Fant, TE, Denver Broncos (11)

89. David Johnson, RB, Houston Texans (10)

90. Robert Tonyan, TE, Green Bay Packers (13)

91. Tyler Boyd, WR, Cincinnati Bengals (10)

92. Leonard Fournette, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9)

93. Laviska Shenault Jr., WR, Jacksonville Jaguars (7)

94. Kenyan Drake, RB, Las Vegas Raiders (8)

95. Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9)

96. Marquise Brown, WR, Baltimore Ravens (8)

97. Jarvis Landry, WR, Cleveland Browns (13)

98. Devin Singletary, RB, Buffalo Bills (7)

99. Trey Sermon, RB, San Francisco 49ers (6)

100. Logan Thomas, TE, Washington Football Team (9)


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Unbuttoned his shorts and took out his tense flesh. I pressed my cheek to his penis and felt how much he throbbed. I ran my tongue along the entire length from the base to the head and clasped it tightly with my lips to the very throat.

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